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Daily FX Focus

16 January 2026

Important Risk Warning

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AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.6649 / 0.6757 ⬆

AUD rose against USD yesterday, buoyed by a new US-Taiwan semiconductor trade deal that lifted risk sentiment. Lower market volatility also supported carry trades and helped the currency hold gains. AUDUSD rose 0.25% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.22 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.1536 / 1.1732 ⬇

EUR fell against USD yesterday, even as Germany exited recession. ECB’s chief economist warned of risks from diverging Fed policy, and officials pushed back on aggressive rate cut bets. EURUSD fell 0.30% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 9.05 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3302 / 1.3510 ➡

GBP weakened against USD yesterday despite a UK economic rebound, as BoE’s move to cut oversight fueled deregulation debate. The pound lagged peers as data suggested less need for aggressive rate cuts. GBPUSD fell 0.46% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.43 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 0.5690 / 0.5813 ➡

NZD fell against USD yesterday, pressured by broad greenback strength and lacking domestic drivers. It stayed resilient despite renewed US-China trade tensions, trading in a narrow range. NZDUSD fell 0.16% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.47 level.

RMB

Support / Resistance

vs USD 6.9433 / 6.9979 ⬆

CNH rose against USD yesterday after the central bank announced sector-specific rate cuts to boost the economy. The currency stayed stable, with downside limited by policy support expectations. USDCNH fell 0.10% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.11 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.3724 / 1.3989 

CAD fell against USD yesterday as home sales dropped 1.2%, overshadowing stronger energy ties with China. The greenback’s strength drove the USDCAD pair higher. USDCAD rose 0.06% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.61 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD 156.44 / 160.15 ⬇

JPY fell against USD yesterday as broad dollar strength and uncertainty from normalization pushed the pair higher. Official concern over one-sided moves offered some support. USDJPY rose 0.11% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.91 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD 1.2810 / 1.2921 ➡

SGD edged lower against USD yesterday, trading in a tight range as markets digested US trade and economic updates. MAS policy stance provided a floor for the currency. USDSGD rose 0.02% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 6.05 level.

MYR

Support / Resistance

vs USD 4.0413 / 4.0753 ⬆

Yesterday, slightly dovish Fedspeak alongside contained US PPI and retail sales data saw UST yields pull back from recent highs, with markets nudging Fed cut expectations for 2026 up by 2bp to around 54bp. Broader USD strength yesterday morning opening at around 4.05 levels. In terms of flows, USDMYR traded broadly in consolidation mode ahead of more US economic data this week. USDMYR closed the day at 4.05. This morning, broader USD strength observed at back of better US data (jobless sales results) observed at the back of better than expected US data, allowing the USDMYR to open just above 4.05 this morning and is expected to trade around 4.04-4.09 range for now.

⬆ Consolidation, indicates that the currency's movement against USD has remained sideways

➡ Up Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving higher against the base currency

⬇ Down Trend, indicates that the currency has been moving lower against the base currency

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