Top of main content

FX Trends: G10 currencies: A bumpy ride

3 February 2026

Key takeaways

  • The USD may face downward pressure in the weeks ahead amid structural concerns…
  • … but its path is likely to be volatile as headline risks could drive movement in both directions.
  • AUD-NZD and EUR-GBP could trend lower, given their respective domestic development.

Our tactical view

Table of tactical views where a currency pair is referenced (e.g. USD/JPY):An up (⬆) / down (⬇) / sideways (➡) arrow indicates that the first currency quotedin the pair is expected by HSBC Global Research to appreciate/depreciate/track sideways against the second currency quoted over the coming weeks. For example, an up arrow against EUR/USD means that the EUR is expected to appreciate against the USD over the coming weeks. The arrows under the “current” represent our current views, while those under “previous” represent our views in the last month’s report.

Note: ^DXY = US Dollar Index, is an index (or measure) of the value of the USD against major global currencies, including the EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, and CHF. Source: HSBC

FX Data Snapshot(from close on 3 January to 2 February*)

FX 

Spot

200 dma

1-month %

change*

Support
Resistance
DXY 97.08 98.63 -1.37% 96.00 99.50
EUR-USD
1.1860 1.1613 1.20% 1.1612 1.2000
EUR-GBP 0.8652 0.8649 0.65% 0.8600 0.8700
GBP-USD 1.3708 1.3425 1.87% 1.3424 1.3868
USD-JPY
154.79 150.09 1.32% 152.10 157.80
EUR-JPY 183.58 174.33 0.14% 181.80 185.50
USD-CHF
0.7749 0.8034 2.26% 0.7500 0.7860
EUR-CHF 0.9190 0.9330 1.07% 0.9100 0.9330
USD-CAD 1.3633 1.3828 0.73% 1.3500 1.3740
AUD-USD
0.6963 0.6562 4.03% 0.6780 0.7094
AUD-NZD 1.1562 1.1186 0.35% 1.1400 1.1680
NZD-USD
0.6023 0.5868 4.42% 0.5868 0.6100

Note: *Priced as at 18:00 HKT on 2 February 2026

Source: HSBC, Bloomberg

Explanation of terms

Spot: Spot refers to the current market price of a currency pair that is important for immediate transactions.

200 dma: 200-day simple moving average numberrepresents the average price of an index or a currency pair over the past 200 days.

Support (S), Resistance (R):Support and resistance are significant previous lows and highs plus retracement levels, based on historical price patterns of anindex or a currency pair. Support is a historical price level where a downtrend of a currency pair paused due to demand for the first currency quoted in the pair increasing, while resistance is a historical price level where an uptrend of a currency pair reversed amid demand for the second currency quoted in the pair increasing.

HSBC Positioning Indices

Note: Priced as of market close 30 January 2026

Source: HSBC, Bloomberg

The indicators have been devised to track the net position of momentum traders, looking at hundreds of strategies, operating over many different time horizons. It considers time horizons of 5 days up to 260 days. An indicator level of +10 would indicate that the hundreds of different strategies have all lined up and gone long (i.e., buy the first currency quoted in the pair). Similarly, an indicator level of -10 indicates that all strategies are short (i.e., sell the first currency quoted in the pair).

24/7 FX services at your fingertips

Access competitive & real-time global exchange rates and make foreign currency conversions wherever you are, whenever you need to with HSBC

Book an appointment

You can now book your appointment with your preferred branch online to ask about our HSBC products and services at your local HSBC branches.

Related Insights

The USD is the worst-performing G10 currency so far this year, closely followed by the...[2 Feb]
The FOMC left rates unchanged and did not shift its stance despite two dissenting votes. [30 Jan]
USD-JPY fell sharply amid possible US-Japan joint FX intervention. [26 Jan]
    Listening to what you have to say about services matters to us. It's easy to share your ideas, stay informed and join the conversation.